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Old 10.04.2011, 22:45   #21
Ze Bertinho
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A 3-2 loss.

My items in the shop aren't worth having (they are in fact far less wholesome than they were with lesser fame) I'm staring relegation to the third tier in the face for the first time in over 60 games and game 99, if recent form is anything to go by, will be against someone forty places above me and on their yard.

The irony is in the last day or two I've been upgrading the ground. In the same two days I haven't had a home game.
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Old 10.04.2011, 23:20   #22
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Game 99 - away.

Spectacular. Division Three beckons when six games ago, I was in shouting distance of the top 100.

1 in 64 that a run of six games will be all away. Seems like million to one chances happen to me nine times out of ten. :bl:
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Old 10.04.2011, 23:37   #23
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(It's worse than 1 in 12 currently - that means for a random sample of thirteen teams you see, odds are I'm the one who is worst off)
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Old 11.04.2011, 00:28   #24
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I need to play you at home next to rub it in. :ag:

Are you 100% fit for you matches? Is your player inactive? Do you have any epic items?

Is this game in fact Rick Rollin' you for kicks?! :bk:
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Old 11.04.2011, 02:29   #25
Ze Bertinho
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedyG View Post
I need to play you at home next to rub it in. :ag:

Are you 100% fit for you matches? Is your player inactive? Do you have any epic items?

Is this game in fact Rick Rollin' you for kicks?! :bk:
You need to be dropping like a stone to stay with me. 100% fit every game guaranteed.

A 4-1 loss. Now in D3 and given the way the games have been lined up, my seventh away game on the spin will be against someone from the top 25 of D1.

I'm actually working just to see where I get to travel next...:br:
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Old 11.04.2011, 02:58   #26
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7 aways on the spin. 1 in 128.

Happy 100th game for me, then.

H42, A58.

Last edited by Ze Bertinho; 11.04.2011 at 03:04.
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Old 11.04.2011, 04:08   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ze Bertinho View Post
7 aways on the spin. 1 in 128.

Happy 100th game for me, then.

H42, A58.
If it's any consolation, you had a 32% chance of it happening at some point during your 100 games (assuming it really is 50/50)

Last edited by manudude03; 11.04.2011 at 04:09.
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Old 11.04.2011, 21:50   #28
Ze Bertinho
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Do you have the calcs for that, manudude?

Not disbelieving at all but stats do interest me. Yes, OK, I'm a geek...
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Old 11.04.2011, 22:00   #29
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I tried to find a calc for that, but couldn't. I took it from http://demonstrations.wolfram.com/Co...eHeadsOrTails/

Heads/Tails are supposedly 50/50 so the same numbers should hold (it's in the section that can be expanded clicking More).
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Old 12.04.2011, 08:49   #30
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Good link. The 32% is either/or, though, which means it's 16% 7 aways, 16% 7 homes. The likelihood of a seven streak is greater than expected, though, through simple numbers - there are 94 7-strands in the first 100 games, and odds of a seven is 63/1 (again, either or).

The overall should equalise out as well, but it didn't. The streak, however, is broken - game 101 was an 8-0 home win...:bl:

And I'm home for 102 too...
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